California Governor Primary Head to Heads

Question

Resolves to whoever gets the most votes in each head to head. For example, in Xavier Becerra(YES) vs Tom Steyer(NO) if Xavier Becerra got 10m votes and Steyer got 11m, it would resolve NO as Tom steyer got the most.

Resolves according to official results and major media reporting.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Steve Hilton (YES) vs Matt Mahan (NO), followed by Tom Steyer (YES) vs Katie Porter (NO) and Tom Steyer(YES) vs Matt Mahan(NO) are most likely. See the market for live updates (14 traders, as of May 7, 2026).