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MANIFOLD
In which Senate races, will the top 2 candidates combined recieve 95% or more of the vote?
2
Ṁ2.5kṀ141
Nov 3
95%
Kansas
95%
North Carolina
90%
Illinois
90%
Iowa
90%
Kentucky
90%
New Hampshire
90%
Rhode Island
85%
Texas
70%
Michigan
67%
Idaho
65%
Oregon
60%
New Jersey
60%
West Virginia
59%
Alaska
51%
Minnesota
51%
Mississippi
51%
South Carolina
51%
Tennessee
50%
Massachusetts
50%
Nebraska

Resolves YES for every state in which the top two candidates combined recieve 95.000% of the vote or more, in the 2026 US Senate elections. Resolves based on the first round for ranked choice elections and elections that go to runoffs. Resolves based on official results and based on % of valid votes. Can resolve early if the answer is very clear.

Top two candidates means the first and second placed candidates in the election.

For example in Alaska, if the first round result was:

Peltola 50%

Sen. Sullivan 42%

Fake Sullivan 4%

Heikes 4%

Alaska would resolve NO as the top candidates only recieved 92% combined.

For example in Texas, if the result was

Talarico 51%

Paxton 47%

Brown 2%

Then Texas would resolve YES as the combined result of the top 2 candidates is 98%.

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2026 United States Senate elections - Wikipedia

You can find a list of candidates here, but no guarantees it is completely accurate and it doesn’t include write in candidates.