Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which US Senators and Candidates will win?
65
Ṁ6.3kṀ16k
Nov 3
88%
Ashley Moody - 2026 Florida
59%
Abdul El Sayed - 2026 Michigan
48%
James Talarico - 2026 Texas
90%
Roy Cooper - 2026 North Carolina
61%
Mary Peltola - 2026 Alaska
10%
John Fetterman - 2028 Pennsylvania
91%
Ed Markey - 2026 Massachusetts
93%
Jon Ossoff - 2026 Georgia
58%
Sherrod Brown - 2026 Ohio
28%
Bernie Sanders - 2030 Vermont
31%
Dan Osborn - 2026 Nebraska
68%
Mike Lee - 2028 Utah
46%
Josh Turek - 2026 Iowa
30%
Chuck Schumer - 2028 New York
28%
Chuck Grassley - 2028 Iowa

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2028_United_States_Senate_elections

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2030_United_States_Senate_elections

The named candidate must win the named election. They are all US senate elections. Doesn’t matter what their party registration is when they win. For example, Fetterman could be a Dem, indie, Republican, or a new party, resolves whether he wins the 2028 PA senate election.

Market can resolve early if it’s no longer possible for them to win.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ150 NO

@Jack1 Lindsey Graham has died, I would argue for an early NO resolution assuming he is replaced on the ballot

bought Ṁ50 YES

New senate market. Including Fetterman 2028 and Bernie 2030!?