Will total US military expenditure top its all-time high by 2024?

21

1kṀ5592

resolved May 13

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending 2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2022, 2023, or 2024 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ285
2		Ṁ277
3		Ṁ31
4		Ṁ15
5		Ṁ15

People are also trading

US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?

Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?

Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?

Will the US Deficit be higher at the end of 2025 than at the end of 2024?

Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?

Will the 2025 US federal deficit be >$1.7T?

What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?

What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2029?

Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?

Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?

Sort by:

Same market for future years:

Reopening until OWID updates. Would have to be a pretty massive jump though.

bought Ṁ1,500 NO

@IsaacKing Resolves no - they've updated.

Unless something significant changes before end of 2024, this resolves no (e.g. the current 2024 budget is below the 2010, inflation adjusted).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_States#Budget_by_year

Probability is too high here due to low market pool.

People are also trading

US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?

+6% 1d28% chance

Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?

Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?

Will the US Deficit be higher at the end of 2025 than at the end of 2024?

Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?

Will the 2025 US federal deficit be >$1.7T?

What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?

What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2029?

Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?

Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?

Related questions

US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?

Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?

Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?

Will the US Deficit be higher at the end of 2025 than at the end of 2024?

Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?

Will the 2025 US federal deficit be >$1.7T?

What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?

What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2029?

Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?

Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy