Will use data provided by Treasury.gov to detemine results.
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit/
Update 2025-12-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve by comparing the deficit in FY 2024 against the final figure for FY 2025 as reported by treasury.gov (using fiscal year data, not calendar year).
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In FY 2025 total government spending was $7.01 trillion and total revenue was $5.23 trillion, resulting in a deficit of $1.78 trillion, a decrease of $41 billion from the previous fiscal year.
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit/
Key Figures for FY 2024 (Oct 1, 2023 - Sep 30, 2024)
Deficit: $1.833 trillion
I think these are final figures and so can resolve.
Can you clarify how you are calculating the deficit and where on the treasury.gov you are getting your numbers? Are you using fiscal year or calendar year?
Are you using
fiscal year or
calendar year or
latest annual figures available at end of the year or
fiscal year to date figure as per https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit/
something else?
@ChristopherRandles - I will compare deficit in FY 2024 against final figure for FY 2025 as reported by the treasury.gov website