Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?
6
Ṁ70Ṁ952
resolved Apr 29
Resolved
YES

If Canadian defence spending reaches 2% of GDP or higher for any single year before 2030, resolves to yes.

Market context
Politics
World
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ128

People are also trading

What will US defense spending be as a % of GDP in 2030?
6.2
What will US defense spending be as a % of GDP in 2035?
5.1
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
68% chance
US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?
40% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2032?
42% chance
What will U.S. Federal spending be as a percentage of GDP in 2030?
34% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2030?
37% chance
Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?
52% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2039?
50% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2033?
37% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ240 YES

Hey, this year's report shows all countries met the 2% taraget https://www.nato.int/content/dam/nato/webready/documents/publications-and-reports/annual-reports/sgar25-en.pdf#page=26

Hey @RowanEvans
Can you resolve the market?

Can any @mods resolve this market?

I think this market can be resolved. Rutte said all NATO countries reached the 2 % target

https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/articles/news/2026/03/26/nato-secretary-generals-annual-report-shows-significant-increase-in-defence-investment-from-europe-and-canada

People are also trading

What will US defense spending be as a % of GDP in 2030?
6.2
What will US defense spending be as a % of GDP in 2035?
5.1
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
68% chance
US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?
40% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2032?
42% chance
What will U.S. Federal spending be as a percentage of GDP in 2030?
34% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2030?
37% chance
Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?
52% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2039?
50% chance
What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2033?
37% chance