Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
10
265Ṁ3172028
68%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Current NATO spending according to Wikipedia is a total of 1.036 trillion. You can see that here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Member_states_of_NATO?wprov=sfti1#Military_expenditures
EDIT: Spending as of 2023 is 1.1 trillion:
https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2023/7/pdf/230707-def-exp-2023-en.pdf
This represents 2.5% of combined GDP, which is 49.8 trillion in total.
Resolution criteria are that NATO spending surpasses 2 trillion US Dollars for at least one year before the END of 2028.
If you have any information that might help inform peoples decisions, please post in the comments!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025?
98% chance
If Trump wins, will at least 20 NATO members reach the 2% target for defense spending in 2025?
74% chance
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025?
28
Will penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?
38% chance
Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?
34% chance
US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?
34% chance
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025? [Log Version]
16
Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?
4% chance
What will Germany's defense budget be for 2025? (excluding Zeitenwende!)