US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?
11
100Ṁ3242027
45%
chance
17
1H
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1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending
2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2025 or 2026 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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