US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026? | Manifold

US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?

11

Ṁ100Ṁ324

2027

45%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending

2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2025 or 2026 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.

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Related questions

Did military spending as % of GDP reach at least 2.0 % for the European Union in 2025?

Will Pentagon get $200 billion in funds for the Iran War before the 2026 midterms?

Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?

Will the US run out of weapons in 2026?

Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?

What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

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Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?

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