
Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?
29
1kṀ11252030
53%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The United States Department of Defense publishes military personnel numbers on a quarterly basis (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec).
The last time the US had an overseas active-duty force of 200,000 or more was in 2017.
Will the United States return to or exceed 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel (in any quarter) before 2030?
For easy reference, here are the active-duty totals from each September from 2016 to 2023 according to the Department of Defense:
Sep 2023: 168,571
Sep 2022: 171,736
Sep 2021: 174,711
Sep 2020: 168,766
Sep 2019: 174,253
Sep 2018: 172,797
Sep 2017: 215,249
Sep 2016: 198,557
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?
40% chance
Will US troops be deployed in combat operations in an overseas conflict before end of 2030
53% chance
Will the US station 100 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
68% chance
What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?
Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Will the US station 500 soldiers in Taiwan before 2030?
42% chance
Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2060?
30% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2034?
Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?
52% chance
Will the a substantial portion (>25%) of civilians still participate in the US labor market in Jan. 2030?
93% chance