Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?
27
120
Ṁ776Ṁ730
2030
59%
chance
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The United States Department of Defense publishes military personnel numbers on a quarterly basis (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec).
The last time the US had an overseas active-duty force of 200,000 or more was in 2017.
Will the United States return to or exceed 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel (in any quarter) before 2030?
For easy reference, here are the active-duty totals from each September from 2016 to 2023 according to the Department of Defense:
Sep 2023: 168,571
Sep 2022: 171,736
Sep 2021: 174,711
Sep 2020: 168,766
Sep 2019: 174,253
Sep 2018: 172,797
Sep 2017: 215,249
Sep 2016: 198,557
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