Will the U.S. military budget decrease by 10%+ during the 2025-2029 presidential term?
7
100Ṁ1602029
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
1. The baseline is the enacted FY2025 Department of Defense base budget of $849.8 billion in nominal dollars.
2. The comparison will be made against the last enacted base budget or actual base spending (whichever is lower) during the presidential term ending January 20, 2029.
3. A decrease of 10% or more (meaning $764.8 billion or lower) from the baseline qualifies as YES.
4. Budget numbers will be sourced from official Congressional Budget Office or Department of Defense documents.
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