
Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?
30
1kṀ21102030
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if an AI participates in a competition primarily involving wiping such as a window-wiping or mopping competition, and beats all human opponents. There must be at least one human opponent for it to count. The competition must have some degree of officialness to it, like an organization putting on the competition. "I held a competition in my basement, and the AI won" doesn't count. I will use my best judgement to determine if a competition is "official" (I may make the criteria for officialness more precise based on suggestions in the comments).
If I can't find any example of an AI winning a competition like this by 2030, resolves NO. If an AI has already won a competition like this, that counts for a YES resolution, too.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
14% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
3% chance
Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?
91% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
8% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
11% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?
36% chance
Will humans wipe out AI by 2030?
6% chance