Assuming we're counting all things people currently call AI?

@Joshua Yes, that sounds right. It would be quite ambiguous to try to account for a changing definition of AI. Probably I would use the same definition of AI as this market:

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

18% chance. If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO. If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES. If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve. See also: @/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d…

@Ansel I think that market implicitly assumes an AI is capable of resolving markets without human support, which I think is a little beyond current capabilities.