Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
94
1.7kṀ14k2030
4%
chance
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Anything highly credible, such as what happened with SBF. Doesn't need to be legally charged.
This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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