![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F8ns5u3_fgc.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dbd850c88-2804-423e-957d-904a9f80601a&w=3840&q=75)
Will humanity survive until 2100?
Basic
66
Ṁ17k2100
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Full question:
Humanity will not go extinct before 2100. At least 1 thousand humans or human descendants (e.g., mind uploads) will be alive in 2100.
One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
12% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2400?
58% chance
Will Humans go extinct by 2200?
55% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
32% chance
Will humanity still exist in 2100?
83% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2300?
52% chance
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
74% chance
Will Earth be a utopia for humans in the year 2100?
34% chance
In which years will humanity still exist? (2050 to 1 million AD)
Will humans on average live to 100 years old by the end of this century?
42% chance