
Will humanity survive until 2100?
71
1.1kṀ18k2100
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Full question:
Humanity will not go extinct before 2100. At least 1 thousand humans or human descendants (e.g., mind uploads) will be alive in 2100.
One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will humanity still exist in 2100?
85% chance
Will humanity go extinct before 2030?
3% chance
Will humanity wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
3% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
34% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2300?
50% chance
Will Humans go extinct by 2200?
39% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2400?
64% chance
Will climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?
4% chance
Will Global Warming Wipe Out Humanity By 2100?
11% chance
Will humans be an endangered species by 2100?
7% chance