Will humanity survive until 2100?
Plus
71
Ṁ18k2100
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Full question:
Humanity will not go extinct before 2100. At least 1 thousand humans or human descendants (e.g., mind uploads) will be alive in 2100.
One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will I be alive by 2100?
38% chance
Will humanity still exist in 2100?
84% chance
Will Humans go extinct by 2200?
59% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2400?
66% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2300?
52% chance
Will Earth be a utopia for humans in the year 2100?
34% chance
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
77% chance
Will humans on average live to 100 years old by the end of this century?
45% chance
Will humans be an endangered species by 2400?
41% chance
In which years will humanity still exist? (2050 to 1 million AD)