Will Humans become extinct in 2400?
Standard
20
Ṁ2087
2400
66%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

From a game theory perspective, no point in betting yes

@ukaszBartoszcze unless Nick sets up some sort of humanity dead-man switch 🤔

Do uploaded minds count as humans?

@PontiMin Arguably not since uploaded minds aren't biological homo sapiens (and the biological interpretation is implied by the word "extinct"), but i'm not the resolver so whatever.

Also note that this market won't resolve for any of us unless we become immortal, so this market has nothing backing it other than goodwill.

In 2400, or before 2400?

bought Ṁ50 YES from 52% to 55%
bought Ṁ50 YES

@BrunoParga In 2400.

@NickAllenc961 the market closes on 2400-01-02. It should wait until the end of the year, no?

@BrunoParga the market is closing on January 2, 2400.

@NickAllenc961 that doesn't make any sense.

@NickAllenc961 as in within the period of that specific year?