Will BTE's secret plan work?
Will BTE's secret plan work?
119
1.1kṀ150k
2026
11%
chance

I've been chatting with @BTE about their plan to found a competitor to Manifold. The core plan is a little differerent from the direction Manifold has gone, and seems like it could go very well or completely fail. I've been asked not to share the details.

Resolves subjectivly based on whether it overall seems to have worked out. (Resolves N/A if it's not attempted.) I won't bet.

  • Update 2025-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Deadline for Resolution: The market will now automatically resolve as NO at the end of 2026 unless BTE demonstrates something real.

    • Demonstration Requirement: A clear, tangible demonstration of the plan is required for a YES result.

    • Attempt Confirmation: Since BTE has confirmed he has attempted his plan, the market will not resolve as N/A.

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