Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?

12

Ṁ150Ṁ657

resolved Feb 28

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

There's been some serious discussion about this among dissatisfied Manifold users, along with some less serious discussion.

In order to qualify as a competitor, it has to allow anyone or almost anyone to create a market, and be aiming to fill a similar niche.

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Manifold Business Future

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bought Ṁ100 YES

@IsaacKing is this sufficient to resolve this YES?

Looks to me like this should probably qualify, but I'm not familiar with it. When did it launch, who is making it, is it trying to fill a similar niche?

@IsaacKing This should resolve. I'd argue N/A as the title states "before 2025", so in 2024 (=No), but it seems close date pointed towards "before 2025 ends" (=Yes?).

@Primer I'm confused. Nikki's comment was made in August 2024, which is before 2025.

@IsaacKing Me too. Seems like I was confused when I wrote this. Apologies.

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