Resolves YES if by the end of 2024, there are at least two qualifying organizations that publicly announce they are running an instance of SocialPredict (as defined below). Otherwise NO.

As an example, SocialPredict is currently working with a professor at University of Vermont who intends to deploy SocialPredict for a class. If that happens and is publicly announced, that counts as one organization (University of Vermont).

Definitions:

• SocialPredict: code is at https://github.com/openpredictionmarkets/socialpredict and you can see it running at https://brierfoxforecast.ngrok.app/markets. For this question, SocialPredict is defined as this or any future version derived from this, even if there are substantial changes or if it is renamed.

• Organizations that qualify here are universities, companies, and registered nonprofits; and must have at least 100 employees.

• The organization or an employee/member of the organization has to publish in some public form that they are running this, e.g. a webpage, blog post, tweet, etc.

• They need to actually be running it by the end of 2024, e.g. if they announce in December that they plan to run it in January, that doesn't count.

• If an organization runs it for some time and then stops, that still counts.

This market was created together with the SocialPredict team, they wanted a trusted third party to run it.