Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040? | Manifold

Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?

66

1.2kṀ22k

2039

14%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes if >50% of humanity's population is killed in a 12 month time period and I think it >30% likely that the root cause was misaligned AI. If I am dead then Manifold can resolve based on Lesswrong community sentiment or a poll with a 30% threshold.

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