Will any terrorist group detonate a nuclear weapon before 2035?
9
31
Ṁ278Ṁ190
2035
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be an actual nuclear detonation, not just a dirty bomb. It's ok if the terrorists are suspected to be backed by a government.
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Whose definition? https://www.state.gov/foreign-terrorist-organizations/ ?
@jfjurchen If it's not a government, scientific experiment, or civil excavation project, it's probably a terrorist.
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