Will Iran develop a Nuclear Weapon before 2035? | Manifold

Will Iran develop a Nuclear Weapon before 2035?

6

Ṁ1kṀ181

2034

34%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes if a consensus of credible media sources confirm Iran has a nuclear weapon and/or tests or uses a nuclear weapon.

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