
This market resolves YES if:
Any market creator with at least 500 total traders resolves a market based on data that they selectivly focused on, while ignoring other applicable data that may undermine their conclusion.
Any market creator with at least 500 total traders personally collects multiple cherries from at least one cherry tree.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,839 | |
2 | Ṁ483 | |
3 | Ṁ469 | |
4 | Ṁ452 | |
5 | Ṁ443 |
People are also trading
The only market that might fit the criteria seems to be this one: https://manifold.markets/VictorLevoso/will-a-noncrappy-video-equivalent-o
There seems to be some controversy in the comments, though I don't know if it would qualify as cherry-picking. However, the words "cherry-picked" are in both the market description and the comments.
@Arky Doesn't seem like it, since it resolved NO. Can't be cherry-picking if the creator isn't picking out some examples and ignoring others.
I think the resolution of this is going to be cherrypicked, but it also resolves "at the end of the year" so IDK if it counts: https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-there-be-a-military-conflict-b
@manyu I did no such thing. The following criteria were clearly met so it resolved correctly:
Targeted assassinations conducted by either side against government or military leaders of the other regardless of where they take place.
@Xe and also are "total traders" the number that is listed as "unique traders" on one's profile or is it the sum of traders in all created markets (including duplicates)?
No, they must satisfy the criteria at the time of the action.
Those are the same thing, it's just a bad naming scheme.
@IsaacKing Thanks! Final question: about the cherry tree route do the cherries have to be picked from a tree at the same time or is it ok to have them picked days, weeks, etc. apart?
@IsaacKing thank you very much! I hope I've successfully encompassed the conditions of your market in my own :33
Does Salem Center's whitelabeled Manifold Market implementation count? Keeping an eye on this one... https://salemcenter.manifold.markets/SalemCenter/china-reaches-100000-covid-cases-by