Will I fulfill the conditions to be a cherry-picking serious market creator via the cherry tree route by the end of 2023
16
223
330
resolved Jan 10
Resolved
NO

Definitions

Situation

  • This is my first market on manifold markets

  • I indend to create more markets

  • I would like to make this resolve yes. I will be bidding yes on this market and will only be bidding yes on this market

  • I own an extremely small cherry tree on which grows a small number of cherries per year

    • That number is always greater than one

    • Sometimes other people who I live with pick the cherries instead of me

      • I can and will ask them not to, and they'll probably follow that

Resolution criteria

Yes

  • I have at least 500 total traders by the end of the year

  • After achieving 500 total traders I have picked at least two cherries in "a single cherry-picking activity"

    • It is acceptable for me to pick cherries additional times so long as there is at least one cherry-picking activity with at least two cherries picked in it

No

  • All other situations

50%

  • This market never resolves 50%

N/A

  • This market never resolves N/A

Ambiguity

In the case of ambiguity, I'll resolve this market in whichever way best meets the spirit of the market in my opinion. If you notify me of the ambiguity beforehand in the manifold comments I'll do my best to clarify and edit the description to reflect my clarification.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ201
2Ṁ36
3Ṁ34
4Ṁ22
5Ṁ20
Sort by:

⚠Inactive Creator

📢Resolved to NO

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind criteria were not vague

@Xe never reached the goal of 500 traders so this just resolves NO

-

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind the description is very clear about how this market should resolve and it’s not personal at all. The “I” is referring to his account which we can see has not reached the 500 traders. What exactly is ambiguous about that?

@DylanSlagh NVM I see what you mean

@Xe Please Resolve Your Market, Thank You!

@Xe Resolve, please? Thanks!

@Xe Can you please resolve? Thank you.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

You probably need to get more popular - maybe by popularizing Manifold in social networks)

bought Ṁ0 of YES

you're limited by more than getting 500 traders by the end of the year: cherry picking season is only a couple months away! how goes the build up?

The last market you made was 20 days ago - don't lose sight of the goal!

bought Ṁ20 of NO

I bought NO as I think it's pretty hard to get to 500 traders, but I sincerely wish you luck!