Will any serious market-creator on Manifold cherry-pick by the end of 2023? | Manifold Markets

Will any serious market-creator on Manifold cherry-pick by the end of 2023?

2024

15

93%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves YES if:

Any market creator with at least 500 total traders resolves a market based on data that they selectivly focused on, while ignoring other applicable data that may undermine their conclusion.
Any market creator with at least 500 total traders personally collects multiple cherries from at least one cherry tree.

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Patrick Delaney

Does Salem Center's whitelabeled Manifold Market implementation count? Keeping an eye on this one... https://salemcenter.manifold.markets/SalemCenter/china-reaches-100000-covid-cases-by

@PatrickDelaney No, I'm only going to count the main site.

Brian T. Edwards

LMFAO!! 🤣

Brian T. Edwards

that second bullet is absolutely priceless.

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Will anyone do significant harm to another person in order to manipulate a market on Manifold by the end of 2024?5%

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Related markets

Will any serious market-creator on Manifold engage in fishy business by the end of 2023?90%

Will Manifold forbid market creators to participate in their own market in 2023?5%

Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to transfer ownership of their markets by end of 2023?29%

Will Manifold allow market creators to assign market resolution to other users by the end of 2023?62%

Will I continue to be in the top 100 market creators on Manifold by end of 2023?93%

Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?71%

Will I be able to create matrix markets on Manifold by end of 2023?65%

Will anyone do significant harm to another person in order to manipulate a market on Manifold by the end of 2024?5%

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?37%