Will Manifold Markets become an echo-chamber of AI enthusiasts and Destiny (the streamer) fans in 2023?
Will any market about Kardashians on Manifold have more than 100 traders by the end of 2023?
Will anyone create a substantive podcast show about Manifold Markets by the end of 2023?
By the end of 2023, will any real-world event have had at least 20 different Manifold markets about it with near-identical resolution criteria?
Will Manifold Markets beat it's all time high on Google Search trend in December 2023?
Will the Time Person of the Year market make Manifold look really smart, or hopelessly delusional?
What is the most cursed market on Manifold?
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
Tomek K 🟡
Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Will Manifold figure out a satisfactory self-resolving market mechanism by the end of 2023? [Resolves to the most satisfactory such mechanism]
Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2023?
Will Manifold have a more refined way to filter through markets by 2024?
At the end of 2023, if I use Manifold Markets for more than 15 hours, will I think that using Manifold Markets over the last year has been net-positive or net-negative? (subsidized 550M)
Will manifold markets still have active users in 2025?
Will superforecasters aggregated outperform Manifold in 2023 ACX prediction contest?
Will Manifold reward the classification of markets into groups by end of 2023?
Will Manifold take a market down in 2023?
Will Mr. Beat post a prediction market on Manifold in 2023?