This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
1,000I'd like for this prediction to be true (for the reasons stated, and eg tptacek's comments on https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47380270) but I highly doubt it will be; the blog post that HN discussion is a good example of MCP apologia, and it goes beyond that, even if it's over-engineered, it's something that enterprise-y people can get comfortable with. And, taking into account the wording of this question, Anthropic and OpenAI have committed to "invest" in https://aaif.io/press/linux-foundation-announces-the-formation-of-the-agentic-ai-foundation-aaif-anchored-by-new-project-contributions-including-model-context-protocol-mcp-goose-and-agents-md/ (not only MCP, bit it's the main thing).
There probably should be some question that's longer term and gets to whether MCP is SOAP or REST (in terms of adoption/relevance).
