This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

See the other manifold questions here

Resolution criteria

Resolves to the best estimate of the sum of December 2026 annualized revenues (monthly revenue × 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI. The resolver will primarily rely on publicly reported figures from reliable news sources (e.g., The New York Times, Reuters, The Information, Bloomberg), official company statements, or direct announcements from company CEOs.

If the most recent reports are from earlier in 2026, the resolver may extrapolate or use projections to estimate December revenue. If there are conflicting reports, the resolver will use their best judgment to determine which is more reliable.

Eli Lifland is responsible for final judgment on resolution decisions.

Buckets are left-inclusive: e.g., $50-60B includes $50.0B but not $60.0B.