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MANIFOLD
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ100
2029
28%
chance

This is broadly meant to encompass failure of the company:

  • Bankruptcy

  • Technically getting acquired by another one of Musk's companies to save face / retain talent for his other companies

  • Dramatically pivoting to no longer doing fundamental AI research.

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