This market should resolve to YES in 2024, but I will not personally resolve it | Manifold

This market should resolve to YES in 2024, but I will not personally resolve it

Basic

23

Ṁ14k

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Trying to estimate the probability of markets with very obvious resolution criteria being correctly resolved (either automatically by some NLP or by the Manifold team) in the absence of the market creators

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#New Year's Resolutions 2024

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Already done, hasn't been resolved yet.

I think betting on this one will be more interesting:

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This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

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This market has a 5% chance of resolving YES, and otherwise stays open forever

This market resolves to YES on December 31st 2050

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