This market resolves to YES on December 31st 2050
19
1kṀ12k2051
98.7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Self-describing. Market to understand the cost of opportunity and interest free rate on Manifold for long term markets.
Important deadline for the net zero commitments.
I may bet YES on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
This market resolves YES on 2100-01-01
97% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
49% chance
This market resolves YES if I am still alive at the close date
64% chance
Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance
6% chance
Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029
98% chance
This market has a 5% chance of resolving YES, and otherwise stays open forever
79% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
48% chance
Will I be around to resolve this market in December 2037?
63% chance
Sort by:
aha
People are also trading
Related questions
This market resolves YES on 2100-01-01
97% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
49% chance
This market resolves YES if I am still alive at the close date
64% chance
Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance
6% chance
Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029
98% chance
This market has a 5% chance of resolving YES, and otherwise stays open forever
79% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
48% chance
Will I be around to resolve this market in December 2037?
63% chance