
Will the market "This market should resolve to YES in 2024, but I will not personally resolve it" resolve to YES in 1mo?
44
530Ṁ33kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to:
YES if the reference market resolves to YES
NO if the reference market resolves to NO, N/A, to any probability, or does not resolve after one month of its closing date
Reference market:
Contrary to the reference market, for this market I will personally resolve it
For anyone wondering if these two markets are redundant, AFAIK the reference market can only resolve to YES or N/A so I imagine it is risk-free to bet YES on it (except in some weird case like a whale knowing it will not resolve to YES then bet a large amount on NO just for fun), hence it is reasonable to see high probabilities
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ105 | |
2 | Ṁ98 | |
3 | Ṁ40 | |
4 | Ṁ32 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |