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This market will resolve to:
YES if the reference market resolves to YES
NO if the reference market resolves to NO, N/A, to any probability, or does not resolve after one month of its closing date
Reference market:
Contrary to the reference market, for this market I will personally resolve it
For anyone wondering if these two markets are redundant, AFAIK the reference market can only resolve to YES or N/A so I imagine it is risk-free to bet YES on it (except in some weird case like a whale knowing it will not resolve to YES then bet a large amount on NO just for fun), hence it is reasonable to see high probabilities
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ105 | |
2 | Ṁ98 | |
3 | Ṁ40 | |
4 | Ṁ32 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |
Correct. If you wanted to return the current value of the position of each bettor, you could simply resolve PROB to the probability the market is currently at.