Will 2024 spaceflight launch success rate be superior to 2023’s rate ? (95,07%)
Plus
44
Ṁ2825Dec 31
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2021 : 146 launch / 10 failures (93,15%)
2022 : 186 launch / 7 failures (96,24%)
2023 : 223 launch / 11 failures (95,07%)
Source of data : Wikipedia ‘Spaceflight of year (Only major failure counted as failure, partial failure counted as success of the launch)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Guillaume (Updated the rates but forgot to update the total flight for 2023 in desc, now it's all good !)
Related questions
Related questions
Will absolute voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential election be higher than 2020?
2% chance
Will the 2024 election have higher turnout than 2020?
8% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
56% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
99% chance
Will the mail-in ballot rate for 2024 be closer to 2020’s 43% (YES) than 2022’s 31.8% (NO)?
20% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 62% or larger?
58% chance
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)?
20% chance
Will 2024 be better than 2023?
63% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
8% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
8% chance