Will Falcon 9 family of rockets launch to orbit (successfully) more times in 2025 than in 2024?
10
150Ṁ1779resolved Oct 28
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Falcon 9 Family includes Falcon heavy and Falcon 9.
If by chance there are failures or intentional suborbital flights they do not count to the total.
Number of launches must be more than for yes. If they are equal it does not count as “more than” and no would be correct.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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2024 132 Falcon9 2 Falcon Heavy but 1 loss in flight = 133
2025 136 Falcon9
So can resolve please @RyanTyznar
Uh, should increase the chances, no? An anomaly that occurs once in more than 300 flights isn't expected to happen in 2025, so they should be able to get better than 2024 even more easily.
But long term markets that are already high aren't really worth locking mana into
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