Will Falcon 9 family of rockets launch to orbit (successfully) more times in 2025 than in 2024?

Ṁ150Ṁ1.8k

resolved Oct 28

Resolved

YES

ALL

Falcon 9 Family includes Falcon heavy and Falcon 9.

If by chance there are failures or intentional suborbital flights they do not count to the total.

Number of launches must be more than for yes. If they are equal it does not count as “more than” and no would be correct.

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Space

SpaceX

Rockets

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bought Ṁ354 YES

2024 132 Falcon9 2 Falcon Heavy but 1 loss in flight = 133
2025 136 Falcon9

So can resolve please @RyanTyznar

Falcon 9 under FAA mishap investigation due to 2nd stage failure (under performance due to potential leak indicated by excessive ice build up). Interested how you guys think this will affect this market.

Uh, should increase the chances, no? An anomaly that occurs once in more than 300 flights isn't expected to happen in 2025, so they should be able to get better than 2024 even more easily.

But long term markets that are already high aren't really worth locking mana into