@mods deleted account
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_in_spaceflight
Just 6 failures in 261 launches this year gives a superior launch success rate

6 failures in 259 launches with just a couple of launches planned.

8 more failures needed (to get to 14 failures in 267) when only 2 launches planned needs 6 more launches for which we do not yet have a date. Not going to happen, so should resolve yes in due course.

Creator account deleted so probably need to wait before calling mods for a resolution.

Has the 2023 data been updated yet?

@Nat Yes

@Guillaume (Updated the rates but forgot to update the total flight for 2023 in desc, now it's all good !)

@Guillaume Ahh I wondered what I was doing wrong haha

Btw I will update the 2023 rate when 2023 will be over haha

Interesting question, hard to predict. What are you using as a data source?

@Mqrius Yes bit of a bet ! I’m using Wikipedia ‘Spaceflight of year’ page.

@Guillaume I guess partial failures count as successes in this market? Or is that an oversight?

@Mqrius Yes