
Will 2024 spaceflight launch success rate be superior to 2023’s rate ? (95,07%)
48
1kṀ14kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2021 : 146 launch / 10 failures (93,15%)
2022 : 186 launch / 7 failures (96,24%)
2023 : 223 launch / 11 failures (95,07%)
Source of data : Wikipedia ‘Spaceflight of year (Only major failure counted as failure, partial failure counted as success of the launch)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ491 | |
2 | Ṁ247 | |
3 | Ṁ51 | |
4 | Ṁ49 | |
5 | Ṁ39 |
People are also trading
Related questions
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 150 Successful Launches In 2025?
75% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 100 Successful Launches In 2025?
99% chance
Will Falcon 9 family of rockets launch to orbit (successfully) more times in 2025 than in 2024?
95% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2025?
91% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 120 Successful Launches In 2025?
96% chance
Will SpaceX Achieve 100 Successful launches from Florida in 2025?
68% chance
Will SpaceX perform fewer launches in 2025 than 2024?
4% chance
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
61% chance
Will SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?
45% chance
Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?
76% chance