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MANIFOLD
Which of these Trump campaign pledges will come to pass by the end of his second term?
32
Ṁ1.6kṀ6.2k
2029
95%
Heavy Tariffs
93%
Attempted prosecution of the "enemy within"/political opponents
92%
Ending taxes on tips
90%
Large-scale deportations of immigrants
89%
Substantial Increase in Oil Permitting
83%
Repeal or substantially curtail the Inflation Reduction Act
82%
Require and preside over increase in defense spending from allies
72%
Cut federal funding to schools that teach "critical race theory" and "transgender" matters
72%
Increased Aid for Israel
44%
Expanding the child tax credit to $5000
41%
Large Tax Cuts
28%
Dismantling the Environmental Protection Agency
21%
Reduce independence of the Fed
12%
Ending taxes on Social Security income
6%
Ending taxes on foreign earned income

Resolutions will be entirely subjective and resolve according to my judgement alone due to the implausibility in coming up with criteria for all of them. I consider myself pretty fair with market resolutions though, if you don't trust me - look at my past market resolutions. To remove any conflicts, I will not bet.

US Politics
Politics
Trump
2024 US Presidential Election
Republican Party
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