Which of these Trump campaign pledges will come to pass by the end of his second term?

Plus

Ṁ2478

2029

79%

Substantial Increase in Oil Permitting

65%

Ending taxes on tips

55%

Large-scale deportations of immigrants

50%

Attempted prosecution of the "enemy within"/political opponents

49%

Heavy Tariffs

48%

Ending taxes on foreign earned income

47%

Ending taxes on Social Security income

45%

Require and preside over increase in defense spending from allies

44%

Increased Aid for Israel

41%

Cut federal funding to schools that teach "critical race theory" and "transgender" matters

40%

Large Tax Cuts

39%

Repeal or substantially curtail the Inflation Reduction Act

36%

Expanding the child tax credit to $5000

31%

Dismantling the Environmental Protection Agency

28%

Reduce independence of the Fed

12%

Ending the war in Ukraine "before Inauguration Day"

Resolutions will be entirely subjective and resolve according to my judgement alone due to the implausibility in coming up with criteria for all of them. I consider myself pretty fair with market resolutions though, if you don't trust me - look at my past market resolutions. To remove any conflicts, I will not bet.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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