Which of these Trump campaign pledges will come to pass by the end of his second term?
31
1.6kṀ5484
2029
90%
Heavy Tariffs
89%
Attempted prosecution of the "enemy within"/political opponents
89%
Substantial Increase in Oil Permitting
84%
Large-scale deportations of immigrants
78%
Require and preside over increase in defense spending from allies
72%
Increased Aid for Israel
67%
Cut federal funding to schools that teach "critical race theory" and "transgender" matters
61%
Ending taxes on tips
55%
Expanding the child tax credit to $5000
45%
Repeal or substantially curtail the Inflation Reduction Act
28%
Dismantling the Environmental Protection Agency
21%
Reduce independence of the Fed
12%
Ending taxes on Social Security income
10%
Large Tax Cuts
6%
Ending taxes on foreign earned income

Resolutions will be entirely subjective and resolve according to my judgement alone due to the implausibility in coming up with criteria for all of them. I consider myself pretty fair with market resolutions though, if you don't trust me - look at my past market resolutions. To remove any conflicts, I will not bet.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Republican Party
2024 US Presidential Election
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Attempted prosecution of political enemies has already come to pass. Citing my sources below.

https://abcnews.go.com/US/list-individuals-including-lisa-cook-targeted-trump-administration/story?id=124968309

https://protectdemocracy.org/work/retaliatory-action-tracker/

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/10/07/us/politics/trump-enemies-justice-department-investigations.html

https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-trump-retribution-tracker/

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