If a human challenge trial for a hepatitis C vaccine is completed by the end of 2024, will a hep C vaccine be approved by the end of 2027?
11
21
Ṁ112Ṁ220
2027
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Can we cure at least one autoimmune disease in humans by 2028?
40% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
66% chance
Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?
56% chance
Will a vaccine for Lyme disease be available to the US public by the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?
39% chance
Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
28% chance
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
27% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
28% chance
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
63% chance