Will the Ukraine war end with Ukraine controlling nearly all Ukrainian territory INCLUDING Crimea?
25
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2025
8%
chance

Yes if the war ends (or at least the fighting) with Ukraine holding military or politically conceded territory of the entire country (excluding small fringe cases), including Crimea. Else, no.

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Might need to change the resolution date

/BenjaminIkuta/will-ukraine-have-full-control-over but

/Heaffey/will-ukraine-have-control-over-crim

Folks think the war is going to be continuous till 2026, I guess?

So if Ukraine conquers the 2021 status (no Crimea) and then a cease fire for peace negotiations starts, this would be NO.