Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API? | Manifold

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

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2040

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AGI may come from either a company or another entity. A company is defined as a legal entity as defined by the country in which the company is incorporated or founded.

Companies involved in selling model access over an API are companies such as OpenAI, Google Gemini or Anthropic.

Companies who are AGI players but do not sell model access as a service over an API include X.com, Tesla, Apple, and others. (as of Aug 31th, 2024)

AGI is defined as a single artificially intelligent model that is capable of solving any Human-complete task.

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X/Twitter/Grok has an AI API now. It's not currently X/Twitter's 'primary product'.

Google's primary product is search

This needs a clarification before I'm willing to predict. Google is a significant player here that this swings the market in either direction.

@iamgingertrash Is primary product defined by plurality of revenue or something else?

Is this based on primary product at the time of AGI being publicly announced or?

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Will AI create the first AGI?

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Will AGI come from a technology significantly more advanced than transformers?

Will AGI be powered by Nvidia GPUs?

Will the first AGI be built mostly within the deep learning paradigm?

Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?

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Related questions

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will AGI undergo a hard take-off?

Will AGI come from a technology significantly more advanced than transformers?

Will AGI be powered by Nvidia GPUs?

Will the first AGI be built mostly within the deep learning paradigm?

Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?

Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

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