Will AGI come from a company who's primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Premium
38
á¹€18k2040
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI may come from either a company or another entity. A company is defined as a legal entity as defined by the country in which the company is incorporated or founded.
Companies involved in selling model access over an API are companies such as OpenAI, Google Gemini or Anthropic.
Companies who are AGI players but do not sell model access as a service over an API include X.com, Tesla, Apple, and others. (as of Aug 31th, 2024)
AGI is defined as a single artificially intelligent model that is capable of solving any Human-complete task.
Get á¹€1,000 play money
Sort by:
@iamgingertrash Is primary product defined by plurality of revenue or something else?
Is this based on primary product at the time of AGI being publicly announced or?
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2027?
29% chance
Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?
35% chance
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will we get AGI before 2031?
58% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
20% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2030?
51% chance
Will AGI come from a technology significantly more advanced than transformers?
40% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
45% chance
Which company will create AGI first?