Will China get AGI first? | Manifold

Will China get AGI first?

28

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2050

24%

chance

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Resolves as YES if the Chinese government or any entity primarily affiliated with China achieves AGI first.

Great Power Conflict

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China's Moonshot AI claims Kimi K3 can rival OpenAI and Anthropic

China's Moonshot AI claims Kimi K3 can rival OpenAI and Anthropic

The company has unveiled a massive new artificial intelligence model it says can take on top American firms.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cDHx2_QbPE

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@ouroboros 👀

How do you evaluate if AGI is achieved? What are the exact resolution criteria?

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Will China or the US announce ‘AGI’ first?

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Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2035?

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Will we get AGI before 2033?

Will China or the US announce ‘AGI’ first?

Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy?

Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?

Which company will create AGI first?

By when will we have AGI?