Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)
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Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire before 2026?
Resolves Yes if there is a ceasefire and he wins the prize, or if there isn't and he doesn't. There does not have to be any stated connection between the events.
Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:
/Mediapunk/will-donald-trump-win-the-nobel-pea
/WalterMartin/will-there-be-a-bilateral-ceasefire-5z0zRtdl5P
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