Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
59
Ṁ1kṀ15kJan 3
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0.1%
Peace and Nobel
5%
Peace but no Nobel
95%
No peace, no Nobel
0.1%
No peace, Nobel anyway
Peace before 2027. There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
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@EvanDaniel this can resolve now, thx.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/nobel-peace-prize-awarded-to-jurist-navi-pillay/ar-AA2dSDa6
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