Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
52
Ṁ1kṀ7.3kJan 3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2%
Peace and Nobel
17%
Peace but no Nobel
80%
No peace, no Nobel
0.9%
No peace, Nobel anyway
Peace before 2027. There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
Previously:
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