Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
13
1kṀ26562027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
Peace and Nobel
45%
Peace but no Nobel
48%
No peace, no Nobel
1.7%
No peace, Nobel anyway
Peace before 2027. There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
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Previously:
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