MANIFOLD
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
127
Ṁ1.6kṀ98k
2029
8%
chance

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Trump
Republican Party
Nobel Prizes
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Market for 2026 only is more liquid: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-trump-wins-the-nobel-peace-pri

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/12/04/sport/soccer-world-cup-peace-prize-trump-intl Pea

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What is the FIFA Peace Prize and why did Donald Trump win? | CNN
As billions of fans around the world tuned in to watch the World Cup draw on Friday, they also got the opportunity to watch FIFA President Gianni Infantino present a new, somewhat puzzling, award.
opened a Ṁ347 YES at 10% order

Who wants to fill my exit order at 10%

@Bayesian Will you fill my order please? I have a low balance

bought Ṁ20 YES

Gaza ceasefire and Ukraine peace deal will be pretty promising.

A trilateral military reduction, while unlikely, would also be worthy.

Question is whether his disregard for international norms is fatal to it.

bought Ṁ50 YES

I want to trust his promises 🤣

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