Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
131
Ṁ1.6kṀ110k
2029
4%
chance

Trump
Republican Party
Nobel Prizes
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

Market for 2026 only is more liquid: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-trump-wins-the-nobel-peace-pri

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/12/04/sport/soccer-world-cup-peace-prize-trump-intl Pea

ce

What is the FIFA Peace Prize and why did Donald Trump win? | CNN
As billions of fans around the world tuned in to watch the World Cup draw on Friday, they also got the opportunity to watch FIFA President Gianni Infantino present a new, somewhat puzzling, award.
opened a Ṁ347 YES at 10% order

Who wants to fill my exit order at 10%

@Bayesian Will you fill my order please? I have a low balance

bought Ṁ20 YES

Gaza ceasefire and Ukraine peace deal will be pretty promising.

A trilateral military reduction, while unlikely, would also be worthy.

Question is whether his disregard for international norms is fatal to it.

bought Ṁ50 YES

I want to trust his promises 🤣

People are also trading