
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
56
1.6kṀ15k2029
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump live till the end of 2028?
84% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
2% chance
Will Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 become president by the end of 2028?
19% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
4% chance
Will Donald Trump be beatified before 2028?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?
2% chance
Will Trump be President at any point in 2029?
83% chance
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
7% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?
2% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump live till the end of 2028?
84% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
2% chance
Will Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 become president by the end of 2028?
19% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
4% chance
Will Donald Trump be beatified before 2028?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?
2% chance
Will Trump be President at any point in 2029?
83% chance
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
7% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?
2% chance