Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?
Plus
5
Ṁ6852029
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump claims to be the great deal maker, and a peacetime president. Will there be a ceasefire that lasts at least 24hours in each of the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars?
The ceasefires don’t need to be at the same time, but both must be while Trump is president. Armistices, treaties, or other formal war endings will also qualify. Resolves NO at the end of the second Trump presidency.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
73% chance
Will Trump End the Ukraine War Within 90 days of Taking Office? [see description]
31% chance
Will Trump End the Israel-Hamas War Within 100 days of Taking Office? [Polymarket]
34% chance
Will an Israel:Hamas ceasefire come before a Russia:Ukraine one? ☮️🤝🇷🇺🇺🇦🇮🇱🇵🇸
76% chance
Will Biden publicly call for a permanent ceasefire in Gaza by the end of 2024? [w/o conditions on Hamas]
17% chance
What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Harris Elected
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
11% chance
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
31% chance
What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Biden Re-elected
Will there be a ceasefire for at least a month in the Israel-Hamas conflict before 1 Jan 2025?
12% chance