Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
➕
Plus
4
Ṁ3667
2026
8%
>= 1
12%
>= 1000
9%
>= 100000

Will nuclear weapons cause fatalities, and how many?

  • The fatality must be caused by the immediate effects of the detonation, so a fatality caused by things like fallout, rioting, or climate effects will not count towards a positive resolution.

  • Any detonation of a nuclear weapon, whether test or non-test, deliberate or inadvertent or accidental, would count towards question resolution.

  • Detonation here means nuclear explosion. If a conventional explosion occurs but no nuclear explosion (for example, a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material with a conventional explosion), that does not count. If a nuclear weapon were launched but the nuclear weapon did not detonate, that would not count as detonation.

For this market, all fatalities from nuclear weapons are included; they do no need to come from a single explosion. The detonation must occur in 2025, UTC time.

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Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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