Will nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
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7
Ṁ5112100
9%
chance
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1W
1M
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This question will resolve as Yes if the human population decreases by at least 10% in any period of 5 years or less, and the cause is principally due to nuclear weapons. Years are here defined as consecutive calendar years.
I.e. resolves YES if both of the following resolve YES:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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