Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
8
170Ṁ1232Dec 31
1.5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will North Korea kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
2% chance
Will Russia kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
4% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
Will the US execute over 3000 people in 2025?
2% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
41% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will any non-state group detonate a nuclear weapon, successfully killing at least 1 person, before 2040?
12% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
13% chance
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
13% chance