
Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
8
170Ṁ1232Dec 31
1.5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will North Korea kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
3% chance
Will Russia kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
4% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
22% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
44% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
1% chance
Will any non-state group detonate a nuclear weapon, successfully killing at least 1 person, before 2040?
11% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
17% chance
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
13% chance