Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2024?
17
1.5kṀ4955
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
United States
Resolved
NO
Russia
Resolved
NO
United Kingdom
Resolved
NO
France
Resolved
NO
China
Resolved
NO
India
Resolved
NO
Pakistan
Resolved
NO
Israel
Resolved
NO
North Korea
Resolved
NO
[Other country not listed above]
Resolved
NO
[Non-state actor]
Resolved
NO
[Unattributed as of close time]

Tests, accidental detonations, and peaceful nuclear explosions are not included. During 2024, UTC time.

The weapon must detonate to be included.

This question is a draft; exact details of edge cases are still being worked out. Suggestions and discussion of potential edge cases are very welcome. Hopefully those can be nailed down in the next couple of days and it won't matter much to the bets before then.

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