On the next Starship launch, how many first stage engines will stay operating?
47
2.5kṀ5296
resolved Nov 18
100%89%
33
3%
32
2%
31
1.3%
30
1.7%
29
0.7%
28
0.4%
27
0.4%
26
0.4%
25
1.4%
24 or fewer

The SpaceX Super Heavy booster, carrying the Starship vehicle, is powered by 33 Raptor engines. On the April 20 test flight, 5 of them shut down before the vehicle exploded.

On the next test flight of the fully integrated vehicle, how many engines will operate as intended for the full intended duration of first-stage flight?

Planned engine shutdowns count as nominal operation; this question is about unplanned shutdowns, like the ones seen in the first test flight.

"First stage flight" ends at stage separation or vehicle explosion. If the launch feed includes an engine health display like the last one, we'll use that. Otherwise, we'll defer to reporting from credible sources. If there's no credible reporting within a day, I'll determine based on the best available video evidence at the last time we could see the engines on video.

Final state of the previous vehicle, for reference:
https://youtu.be/-1wcilQ58hI?t=2944

If the launch is significantly delayed I'll extend the close date. If the Starship program is cancelled or replaced with a vehicle that does not have 33 Raptor engines installed I'll resolve N/A.

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