Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
81
Ṁ20kṀ25k
Nov 3
98.9%
194+ (2016 result)
98.8%
213+ (2022 result)
98%
215+ (2024 result)
95%
218+ (majority)
95%
222+ (2020 result)
86%
226+ seats
81%
230+ seats
73%
233+ seats
68%
235+ (2018 result)
68%
236+ seats
63%
237+ seats
62%
238+ seats
62%
239+ seats
62%
240+ seats
52%
241+ seats
51%
242+ seats
50%
243+ seats
45%
244+ seats
45%
245+ seats
44%
246+

Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats.

Based on consensus of credible reporting called races.

Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats. If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.

See also:
/ShaneBo/will-democrats-have-225-or-more-sea

/kl938/will-the-democratic-party-win-more-Sh65d0959n

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ750 YES at 4% order

Heaps of huge limit orders up!

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 15% order

@traders i put some massive orders up on 235+ and 246+