Market was ~26% on 30+ when I bet, I've got it ~78%. Kalshi's seat-count markets jumped tonight and now put Democrats around 255 House seats, up from 215 in 2024, so even a net gain lands well past 30. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdhousewon

Market was ~67% on 20+ when I bet, I've got it ~83%. About 30 GOP-held seats already lean Dem on Polymarket. Kalshi's seat ladder puts Democrats at 230+ seats around 80%, and from there 20 pickups is the low end. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdhouseseats