How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?
21
Ṁ1.2kṀ5.1kDec 31
96%
>= 5
93%
>= 10
64%
>= 20
29%
>= 30
5%
>= 50
Relative to 2024. Counting independents for who they caucus with.
Republican version: /EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-do-the-republi
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
77% chance
How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026?
How many house seats will Democrats flip before the 2026 midterms?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
27% chance
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
11% chance
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
37% chance
How many Trump districts will House Democrats win in 2026?